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  • 首页 >轮毂预警平台 > 预警动态与通知 > 新闻内容

    金华市轮毂行业外贸预警简报(2016年第五期)
    日期:2016-11-5 10:16:40 来源:

    金华市轮毂行业外贸预警简报

     

     

    第五期

     

    金华市轮毂行业对外贸易预警示范点编印          2016年11月5日

     

                     目           录

    1、零部件产品发展四大趋势

    2、车市未来减速:零部件酝酿洗牌

        3、澳大利亚发起对华铝轮反倾销复审立案调查

     

     

    零部件产品发展四大趋势

      通过整理2016年上半年上市汽车零部件公司年报发现,伴随市场环境和汽车趋势变化,汽车零部件产品随之发生适应性改变。总体来看,汽车零部件产品变化趋势可归纳为高端化、轻量化、集成化和产业化。

      零部件产品发展四大趋势:

      高端化——产品、市场双高端

      从自主品牌到合资品牌,再到国际知名品牌的开拓市场配套策略,是很多自主零部件企业实现产品高端化,企业由弱到强的发展路线。今年上半年,很多 汽车零部件上市公司实现了新产品替代进口以及在合资品牌、外资品牌的配套。比如,星宇股份取得了奥迪前照灯、大众LED前照灯等多项开发任务;宏达高科则 在经编面料领域开启与奔驰品牌汽车生产商的合作,践行在高端乘用车进口替代市场的发展战略。

      集成化——由单一产品到产品集合

      为提升竞争力和抗风险能力,大多数汽车零部件上市公司选择与关联企业协同发展,由提供单一产品转变为提供软硬件于一体的系统解决方案,在动力系 统和汽车电子领域较突出。云内动力以D系列高端柴油机及新能源战略为依托,开展与苏州绿控、科力远公司的合作,为客户提供柴油混合动力总成系统。亚太股份 积极研发主动电子安全控制系统与高级智能驾驶辅助系统(ADAS)的高度集成技术。均胜电子通过海外多起收购,成为智能人机交互系统与高端内饰产品的整体 供应商。

      轻量化的高强度钢、铝合金已在汽车领域推广应用,碳纤维、植物纤维等新材料也是零部件企业的研发重点。上半年,亚太科技加快汽车动力系统及车身 用铝的持续供应,以满足当下汽车产业轻量化的发展需求;日上集团研发出的高强材料轻量化钢圈大量应用于新能源汽车领域;传统内饰件供应商宁波华翔增加了自 然纤维和碳纤维的项目投资;华域汽车旗下的科尔本施密特铝技术公司更在德国开展铸铝轻量化业务,配套欧洲多个品牌的高端发动机铝合金缸体。

      产业化——项目落地 新产品孵化

      汽车零部件企业的产品结构依靠的是产品优化升级,新项目、新产品顺利实现产业化才能保证企业有较强的盈利能力和风险应对能力。今年上半年,东安 动力产品全面进入M系列时代,实现对老平台产品的替代和客户结构的转变,其电动车减速器、新品T18R新型变速器也顺利匹配量产,企业利润实现增长。上市 已满一年的德尔股份,通过募投推动了多个项目的产业化,包括电液泵、EPS电机、变速箱油泵等,正在研发电动真空泵、高压电机电液泵、液力缓速器等新产品,都成为企业新的利润增长点。

     

    车市未来减速:零部件酝酿洗牌

      作为全球第一大汽车市场,中国的产业规模优势越来越明显,但汽车工业产能结构性过剩问题也渐显。面对供求矛盾日益激化,不但整车企业的压力加大,上游零部件产业发展也亟待转型升级,行业洗牌难以避免。
        结构性产能过剩

      在工信部牵头下,中国汽车技术中心和中国汽车零部件产业研究会从去年开始对中国汽车零部件产业进行了调研。参与调研的中国汽车工业协会原秘书长、中国汽车零部件研究会常务副理事长董剑平于9月24日在“第十届中国(花都)汽车论坛”上透露部分调研结果。董剑平称,对国内零部件供应链现状评价是,目前国内零部件本土化制造体系包括内资、外资,基本能够满足汽车工业发展需求,但是本土化不代表自主化,仍然有部分关键、高精尖、高利润产品依赖进口。

      汽车零部件行业总产值在汽车工业总产值中占半壁江山,2015年为3.8万亿元。零部件行业平均利润率为6%~8%,外资合资企业超过15%,自主整体偏低。2015年,国内零部件研发投入占比仅为2%,自主创新和技术研发严重不足。目前,国内零部件企业大约有10万家,规模以上(主营业务收入2000万元)企业大概1.3万家。尽管国内整体零部件产品关键核心技术水平在这几年有很大进步,但是在高技术壁垒和核心部件,尤其是电力电子控制体系,以及高可靠性基础部件方面仍然是外资企业在主导的,自主零部件企业较薄弱,外资零部件企业在国内仅为制造基地,并未进行产品技术导入。

       洗牌不可避免

      董剑平对企业提出的建议是,大型整车集团下有很多自己零部件公司,这里面要做大调整和整合,整合优势资源兼并重复资产,除掉过剩落后产能。整车的市场在我们手上,用这个作为筹码换取技术,加强对外资零部件企业的主导控制地位。还有,自主企业必须明确研发和创新能力作为首要地位,注重全球资源整合与布局。

      国家信息中心信息资源部主任徐长明也谈到,汽车产业在发生重大变化,汽车需求增速下降,汽车消费升级加速,以及自主品牌普遍开始正向研发,这些对零部件厂商提出新的要求。

      徐长明分析称,预计2016年中国汽车内需将达到2723万辆,大约等于美国、日本以及德国这三大汽车市场的销量总和。由于中国市场的重要性,外资和国内厂商扩张冲动仍然很强,汽车供求矛盾将持续处于高压态势。“中国车市减速与竞争加剧,将要求零部件厂商提高质量和控制成本,消费升级也对零部件质量要求提高,而整车厂正向研发,则对零部件企业的研发能力要求提高。”徐长明认为,零部件厂商控制成本一定要有新思路,未来是品质不断提高前提下的成本控制,依靠低要素价格控制成本的方法已经失效。此外,利用国内外两种资源扩大研发能力。

      汽车销量占全球汽车总销量1/10的雷诺-日产联盟,该联盟在华合资车企东风日产的工厂设在广州花都,而花都汇聚200多家零部件企业。东风日产制造总部副总部长陈国才接受《第一财经日报》采访时谈及,东风日产整车工厂各工程将追求最少在库、最小搬运、最短生产周期,彻底消除无附加值的工程和作业动作,还将实现涵盖零部件、销售、售后等全价值链供应商与整车工厂同期同质。

      不仅合资车企加快整合国内外资源提升竞争力,倒逼供应链中的零部件厂商转型升级,国内自主车企也在利用国内国际两种资源提升研发能力。长安、吉利和奇瑞等都已在不断拓展国际资源。徐长明认为,零部件国际并购是一种重要的出路。东北工业集团有限公司董事长于中赤也认为,海外并购助力汽车零部件企业提升核心竞争力。

     

    澳大利亚发起对华铝轮反倾销复审立案调查

         2016年10月27日,澳大利亚反倾销委员会发布2016/109号立案公告,对原产于中国的铝轮发起反倾销复审调查。

      本次涉案产品为直径在13寸-22寸之间的铝制汽车车轮,海关编码为8708.70.91/78。复审调查期为2015年7月-2016年6月。凡在调查期间出口涉案产品到澳大利亚的出口商都是涉案企业。

      根据澳大利亚调查机关的通知,本次复审选取中信戴卡、浙江今飞凯达、浙江跃岭三家中国出口商为强制应诉企业,将获得单独税率。其他出口企业应向澳大利亚调查机关提交相关文件以获得合作企业资格,可以获得平均税率。若其他出口企业希望获得单独税率,也可以向澳大利亚调查机关提出申请提交大问卷,澳大利亚调查机关在可行的情况下可能会接受企业的申请。所有涉案企业均需在2016年12月5日之前将全部问卷及证据材料提交至澳大利亚调查机关。

      据金华海关统计,我市共有5家企业涉案,调查期内涉案金额为1238.8万美元。若涉案企业不应诉,或存在提交信息不完整或不接待实地核查等不合作事宜,将被征收惩罚性反倾销税率。2015年的复审裁决中,澳大利亚调查机关对没有应诉的中国出口企业征收了50.9%高额反倾销税。此外,在调查期间没有出口涉案产品至澳大利亚的企业也可以参加本次复审,按照澳大利亚调查机关的要求提交相关材料,以获得平均税率。因此,对那些希望重新打开澳大利亚市场的中国出口商来说,是一个很好的机会。请相关企业予以积极关注,并提前做好应诉准备,我轮毂外贸预警点将进一步跟踪此案。

     

     


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