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    中美经济合作应着眼更高更广阔领域
    日期:2017/7/28 16:29:53 来源:经济参考报

      中国与全球化智库日前在京举办从首次全面经济对话看中美经贸投资前景研讨会,从智库角度对中美经贸合作建言献策。与会专家认为,虽然首次全面经济对话没有发表共同声明,但是相信对话才能消除分歧,达成共识。

      中国世贸组织研究会副会长霍建国认为,中美经济对话的目的本来就是要通过双方的沟通寻求解决问题的方法和路径,鉴于目前中美双方在针对贸易不平衡问题上的认识存在着较大的差距,所以才难以在解决问题的方法和途径上达成一致。中方认为中美贸易不平衡的实质反映的是中美各自经济结构及经济发展阶段的不同,是符合国际贸易及市场竞争规律的,解决中美货物贸易不平衡问题仅靠中方扩大自美进口、减少对美出口是不科学的,也是无法实现的。中美双方在贸易不平衡问题上应通过深入的沟通,形成统一认识,客观看待货物贸易的不平衡问题,在此基础上,采取相向而行的策略。经过共同努力,逐步缓解或实现双边贸易的基本平衡,这才是现实的、可操作的、对双方经济发展均有利的路径和选择。

      霍建国说,从客观上讲,中美双方可在多个领域实现互利共赢的合作。一是中方将适度扩大自美农产品进口,同时也希望美方放开中国部分农产品对美国的出口。二是中方可继续扩大自美高科技产品的进口,同时也希望美国可以尽快解除对华高科技产品的出口限制。三是中方可通过加大对美投资来缓解贸易项下的不平衡,但美方一定要考虑进一步改进投资安全审查的公开透明度并尽快恢复中美双方的BIT谈判,力争早日签署协议。四是中方可以考虑加快服务业对外开放并探索自美进口石油和天然气等产品,但中方更希望美方能拿出诚意,创造良好的合作气氛。

      原中国驻旧金山、纽约总领馆经济商务参赞何伟文表示,虽然中美两国早就对缩小美方逆差达成共识,中国也一贯赞成通过扩大从美国进口来逐步缩小美方逆差,但要符合美方整个贸易再平衡的目标,全面经济对话显然做不到。因为美国全球贸易逆差是美国在全球供应链中的分工决定的,不是双边所能解决的。美方以缩小贸易逆差为中心诉求、以指责中国搞不公平贸易为主要理由来进行中美全面经济对话,自然无法实现初衷。但这并不是对话出了问题,而是这个诉求和指责不符合实际,做法也不大可行。中美经济关系范围极其广阔,贸易平衡并不是主要问题。

      何伟文说,中美两国应当探讨产业合作,共同拓展第三方市场。中美经济合作应着眼于更高、更广阔的领域。两国应共同努力,从贸易、投资、技术研发、金融、服务贸易、知识产权保护、法律、文化、旅游、第三方市场等方面,全方位建立稳定而互利的合作机制和具体途径。既有效管控分歧,及时处理问题,又不断发现新的重大项目和合作领域。如此良性互动,持之以恒,必将为双方带来巨大机遇,并造福两国人民。

      中国社会科学院美国问题专家吕祥表示,此次对话尚未产生共同声明,但这不表示双方谈崩。美方声明中承认双方在中美贸易平衡问题上走出了一大步。在不久的将来,双方在重大经贸问题上还将进一步进行更加深入、更高层次的磋商。

      吕祥分析说,美国对外贸易的逆差问题已持续了40多年。而美方对中方的逆差,在根本上是两国产业结构的问题。美方一些人寄希望于中方削减对美出口以解决问题,这显然不切实际。解决问题的关键,是美方必须采取措施改善自身的供给结构,提升自身的供给质量。因此,首先是美方必须放松对特定产品的出口管制;其次是开拓新的出口资源和供给能力。从长远看,美方将如何平衡美元的强弱,也将决定美国在世界的定位。美国的能源(油、气)出口能力显然具有巨大的潜力。但是,美方在天然气出口方面还缺乏足够的基础设施,美国有关企业在过去几年提出的西海岸天然气港口建设计划均遭奥巴马政府否决。因此,如果美方能够重启这样的建设方案,美国对华能源出口将可能出现爆炸性增长。



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